Wednesday, February 17, 2016

If you don t you should not blame the robots get off work

  Along with the robot industry "Thirteen-Five" development plan for the completion of the first draft, "substitution of the machine" once again fade in view of the discussion. "The Wolf", the machine starts and people have jobs; as the face of "end of the artificial intelligence humans", some people stood United Front, began to talk about "opportunity" color has changed.

  Artificial "mechanization", machine "intelligence"

  Combination of situations encountered in daily life, "machine change" discussion, we considered whether, in the presence of artificial mechanized, machine intelligence, "substitution of the machine" is inevitable, for who is who should change?

  September 1 at 10 o'clock in the morning, a Zhejiang mobile users not from the "flow Tycoon" recovered in the new gods, he found that "the flow is already used more than more than 200 megabytes". No videos, no online game, even for users with 70% time in a sleep state, the flow exactly how to spend it? customer service phone 10086 users manual, feedback is "traffic is 205M, use normal", without any convincing or "dynamic" solutions went nowhere. This will inevitably make life suspected, "human service" even if it is a machine, according to the procedure set is also available through Internet search, provide some substantive supporting data, the so-called "normal"?

  August 25, at 9 o'clock in the morning, bought problem Dell computer in Jingdong netizens ITU Jingdong after-sale customer service, consulting returns processing progress, feedback is received from "people" doesn't; when asked about when to contact "related persons" and give feedback, consistent customer service answer, "I don't know that either, we can not give a specific time." This makes life suspected, it is a "Beijing Dong people" attitude and ability to solve the problem? ' rather than a robot. However, if the robot is a program, that service should be better!

  People grow in the soil in the Internet age, it is inevitable to encounter all sorts of "mechanized" human services. We are helpless and wonder in "that really can do it", when a gentle, sounds kind of real "robot" fades in our view, that is Siri--on Apple and its products using a voice control feature, it lets more than iPhone4S and phone (iPad more than 3 tablets) transformed into an intelligent robot. Compared with human customer service, Siri more humorous, and never the bad attitude; on the problem, relying on the vast Internet data, Siri provides effective search is "slack" of human customer service hard to beat.

  "Machine replacement" trend, artificial go from here?

  "Human service" mechanization of whether we have expectations of service robots! had "machine substitutions" option, or for more people can't do (robots), does a good person (automotive and other high end), and people don't want to do (domestic manufacturing) of these three causes. At this time, more passive choice status and with the development of science and technology, mechanization promotion, more companies will be on the road to choose. Whether it is infected in the country's environment, or out of their own interests, but what is more efficient, standardized machine production will be more favored. It also has artificial "mechanization" reasons, further accelerating the "substitution of the machine" pace. Science and technology post Golder says Baidu

  , National policies supporting "substitution of the machine"

  Earlier, made in China issued by the State Council 2025 is committed to China for the manufacturing country to a manufacturing powerhouse, the core of which is to seize the commanding point in a new round of international competition in the manufacturing sector. Main directions – for intelligent manufacturing, robots, 3D printing, intelligent plant is its important support and backing. The Ministry in the development of the robotics industry "Thirteen-Five" when development planning, also actively pursue policies, support for robot development, application and standard system construction and strengthening the application of robots in manufacturing areas of focus.

  National development of robot hurricanes blowing, "machine substitutions" tide coming over and over. Under general direction, policy guidance, and provinces and cities have also taken a solid step. March 2015 end of Guangdong Province Government issued Guangdong Province industrial transformation upgrade battle three years action plans (2015-2017) of notification, planning to 2017 late, preliminary built 10 a in national has larger influence of intelligent manufacturing industry base, built 2 a domestic leading of robot manufacturing industry base, promoted 1950 home scale above industrial enterprise carried out "machine substitutions"; while, Guangdong Province will in future 3 years will cumulative input 943 billion yuan, Lead 20,000 industrial enterprises above designated size through a new round of technological renovation.

  The Dongguan Government is starting in 2014, organised financial Fund of 200 million Yuan a year for 3 consecutive years, used to encourage enterprises to "substitution of the machine". Meeting is a key demonstration projects, equipment conditions, individual project grant amount of up to 5 million Yuan. According to the statistics on access to information, first quarter of the year from September 2014, Dongguan implementation "machine substitutions" effective reporting project 505, projects with a total investment of 4.26 billion yuan, using production equipment up to 700 million Yuan, is expected to reduce labor 34378, average pass rate increased from 89.3% to 96.6%, cost per unit of product decreased by 10%, annual sales revenue of 29.16 billion yuan.

  Second, reducing cost and increasing efficiency of enterprises select "substitution of the machine"

  As early as a few years ago, "substitution of the machine" concept has been started in the industry continue to be mentioned, but the real landing development is in the minority. Mainly due to two reasons: one is the restriction of robot development technology; the second is the "lack" of money.

  "Companies ' machine replacement ' interest is beyond doubt, but in turn interest into actual action, psychological pursuit of results on the high side. "Robot manufacturers generally reflected" a year of cost recovery, cost recovery two years going to think about it, don't change in three years, which made many ' machine replacement ' hesitate to go up in smoke. "Of course, this also because of pressure on enterprises ' own funds. "Under the current situation of economic development, for enterprise upgrading, and many even have surplus funds invest in automation equipment and technology updates, not to mention the ' machine change ' which requires substantial capital investment projects. "The views expressed by many entrepreneurs to coincide.

  However, after a period of development in recent years, more and more business owners found that manual labor costs soaring. "Machine substitution" strategy first appeared in Zhejiang Province as an example, according to the relevant statistics, 2005-2012 Zhejiang industrial enterprises above the designated size per capita remuneration from 41370 14847/year/year, representing an annual growth of 15.8%, and increase the total ranking first in the country. Similarly, according to Standard Chartered Bank's sixth annual Pearl River Delta manufacturing survey data shows that wage increases this year or up to 8.4% in Pearl River Delta, and increased investment in automation, optimization of production processes and process is the Pearl River Delta manufacturing enterprises to cope with labor shortages and rising wages in general practice. In addition, in an increasingly prominent human service of malpractice, which moves from the front, the Beijing East is evident in the case.

  At the same time, the robot's advantages are continuously highlighted. In Shunde, Foshan, on the production line of a refrigeration company, originally takes 7 air conditioning remote control of production workers, after automation industrial robotics, the required number of staff fell to 2 and 1.5 times times more efficiency than in the past. In a company workshop production of elevators, the entire production line only 2 employees, another employee in the State. But the lift capacity of the company increased by 50%, just because the company had "introduced the Italy robots, replacing old equipment and some staff. "Even in the Zhuhai gree electric appliances factory, ABB robots have been used for the handling, stacking, loading and unloading machine tools, sheet metal stamping automatic production lines, such as Help Workshop 30% increased production efficiency.

  "Machine change" sounded artificial alarm

  "Machine substitutions" waves have not really splash, "Wolf" cry has four. Is this really just machines and our "grab something to eat" rhythm? ' but it's not. "Substitution of the machine", as human beings we should perhaps more dialectically the hidden opportunities and challenges.

  First of all, there is no doubt, machine replacement is not needed, and instead just short of is people, but people need to have higher skills and values, such as technical engineers and other professionals. Even against these people, States, Governments, industries, enterprises will spare no effort to give its growth and development to training and support.

  Of course, the "machine change" brings a sense of existence, especially in some no technical content of the job, along with human action limit values approaching, "substitution of the machine" is inevitable unless staff can maximize their initiative to create unconventional added value. In manual customer service in the age of the Internet, for example, there is better communication between enterprises and customers, through increased flexibility and variability of customer on the viscous, that is the value of his existence. If not, just let enterprises receive more complaints, the waste of resources not to say, more serious damage to corporate image.

  "Machine substitutions" pace in the firm to move forward, to say it will not have any effect on human work, apparently shuts its threat to say it will not work on humans, it is self-deception ... ... Face this field "work battle" of contest, you if wants to became "machine substitutions" welfare of winner, or "machine substitutions" movement of survival who, so is when the on self sounded alarm has: or let himself more has wisdom and capacity, to do "machine" of manipulation who, this undoubtedly is now market of shortage type talent; or let himself has more peace of mentality, for its others provides more with human of service experience, full play human by has of no can alternative of intelligent and spiritual, so is a exists of reason. Otherwise, if only to enjoy themselves go its own way, one step at a time "mechanization". So, all I can say is: "the substitution of the machine" you who?

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